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Hopper Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 70%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 77%

Match score prediction average error: 14.1

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
231 4587 4256 129
(102)
B / C
91% / 38%
60%
1218 2733 3414 71
(93)
B
91% / 12%
5618 4241 5811 127
(108)
B / C
95% / 40%
76%
4920 5847 5899 106
(90)
B
89% / 5%
6070 1730 5839 65
(97)
--
58% / 14%
57%
303 5166 4085 82
(101)
B
95% / 5%
4547 971 294 119
(125)
B
95% / 45%
71%
1011 148 1796 170
(143)
B / C
95% / 84%
670 1678 2990 122
(116)
B
95% / 57%
56%
5805 4334 5232 74
(111)
B
95% / 5%
1736 2471 4967 107
(146)
B / C
95% / 78%
94%
4377 1732 5431 120
(97)
B
95% / 9%
3019 3646 812 80
(61)
--
5% / 5%
95%
597 2013 123 122
(108)
B
95% / 11%
4216 1425 1712 116
(108)
B / C
95% / 70%
64%
5254 2405 1684 94
(118)
B
95% / 26%
70 1538 5996 114
(117)
B
95% / 36%
67%
422 6153 3604 87
(106)
B
95% / 47%
1323 686 346 133
(119)
B / C
95% / 21%
85%
1769 5546 5801 99
(89)
B
82% / 5%
3324 3397 2438 69
(87)
--
50% / 19%
67%
771 3260 364 84
(100)
--
95% / 6%
2046 4060 193 127
(104)
B / C
95% / 13%
68%
1559 172 869 109
(112)
B
95% / 22%
3880 294 4920 123
(107)
B / C
95% / 6%
60%
5098 5910 1730 98
(98)
B
95% / 18%
5847 4256 1678 114
(128)
B
95% / 64%
51%
5166 148 5431 137
(127)
B
94% / 34%
2405 3604 1732 91
(94)
B
84% / 5%
78%
2733 5232 422 104
(69)
B / C
93% / 5%
5839 1769 3019 69
(89)
--
82% / 5%
74%
4216 2990 5618 116
(110)
B / C
95% / 66%
1684 597 5805 101
(86)
B
95% / 5%
84%
231 686 303 110
(113)
B / C
95% / 69%
5546 123 3414 109
(98)
B
90% / 5%
82%
1796 3260 4377 88
(127)
B
95% / 15%
5899 670 70 82
(99)
B
95% / 5%
95%
1559 3646 5098 99
(60)
B
44% / 5%
1323 4060 4085 127
(100)
B
95% / 10%
81%
812 4967 2046 116
(127)
B
95% / 74%
4241 364 193 102
(118)
B
95% / 52%
51%
2013 1011 4547 83
(119)
B
95% / 56%
6070 869 1712 123
(84)
B
61% / 5%
85%
4587 3880 2438 112
(117)
B
95% / 53%
6153 1425 3324 118
(97)
B
95% / 51%
84%
346 4334 2471 162
(127)
B / C
95% / 34%
5996 3397 1218 85
(75)
B
69% / 5%
95%
971 172 1736 194
(139)
B / C
95% / 82%
5910 5811 771 95
(88)
B
94% / 5%
94%
1538 5801 5254 120
(121)
B
87% / 49%
3646 4256 4085 106
(75)
B
46% / 5%
92%
686 1684 294 125
(118)
B
95% / 54%
5166 1769 5232 95
(74)
B
95% / 5%
88%
2046 364 4920 117
(115)
B
70% / 45%
231 5618 148 139
(144)
B / C
95% / 79%
93%
3604 812 5546 121
(107)
B
95% / 17%
193 2438 3414 87
(98)
--
95% / 28%
70%
1730 5805 1425 115
(112)
B
95% / 32%
3260 2471 5847 67
(108)
--
95% / 19%
76%
5996 4060 597 87
(86)
B
95% / 5%
971 5098 2733 111
(129)
B
90% / 45%
64%
1323 4241 4216 105
(118)
B
88% / 49%
5254 303 4334 131
(136)
B / C
95% / 92%
57%
70 1011 4587 119
(130)
B / C
95% / 88%
1736 1559 1796 117
(129)
B / C
95% / 52%
91%
346 6070 771 70
(81)
B
66% / 5%
1712 1538 4377 115
(118)
B / C
95% / 48%
82%
5899 5801 2990 97
(93)
B
86% / 5%
5811 4967 123 114
(122)
B / C
95% / 64%
91%
5839 2405 3324 59
(76)
--
64% / 5%
869 1218 3019 107
(107)
B
79% / 8%
82%
1732 6153 4547 71
(79)
--
91% / 5%
422 670 5431 74
(92)
B
95% / 19%
78%
172 3880 5910 115
(111)
B / C
95% / 45%
2013 1678 1323 157
(153)
B
95% / 80%
95%
3397 3414 5254 92
(97)
B
70% / 10%
5098 1736 2046 116
(122)
B / C
95% / 45%
81%
4256 303 2438 109
(96)
B / C
76% / 24%
5899 4216 2733 88
(87)
B
95% / 19%
83%
2471 5546 294 145
(117)
B / C
95% / 28%
4241 231 1769 94
(99)
B
95% / 24%
70%
5996 123 1425 99
(109)
B / C
95% / 44%
4334 1730 1796 127
(139)
B / C
93% / 66%
93%
1538 2405 597 116
(95)
B
71% / 5%
3646 3604 2990 90
(91)
B
71% / 18%
69%
193 5431 1218 129
(105)
B / C
95% / 27%
4587 4060 5910 125
(109)
B / C
95% / 49%
72%
5166 5618 3324 96
(96)
B
90% / 20%
364 422 971 98
(139)
B
95% / 87%
56%
812 686 1678 101
(136)
B
95% / 80%
3019 346 4085 125
(106)
B
95% / 5%
60%
670 3260 869 102
(98)
B
82% / 5%
1732 5805 172 109
(100)
B
94% / 7%
69%
70 4920 1712 97
(115)
B
88% / 43%
5847 3397 1011 80
(87)
--
86% / 32%
62%
4377 6153 1559 111
(97)
B
95% / 20%
5811 6070 1684 124
(95)
B
90% / 10%
87%
5232 4547 771 86
(54)
B
83% / 5%
5801 3880 148 110
(132)
B
92% / 54%
71%
2013 5839 4967 130
(115)
B
70% / 41%
5166 123 4060 113
(94)
B
95% / 21%
88%
1736 597 2990 111
(120)
B / C
95% / 55%
2405 3260 303 86
(86)
B
78% / 17%
84%
4256 3604 5618 123
(115)
B / C
93% / 36%
422 5899 1796 78
(98)
B
95% / 30%
85%
4587 1323 193 138
(134)
B
95% / 78%
5805 5431 1538 117
(111)
B
87% / 20%
72%
869 5098 3397 111
(97)
B
65% / 5%
3646 1769 5910 71
(76)
B
84% / 7%
95%
1712 6153 971 151
(128)
B / C
95% / 84%
4334 771 1559 126
(107)
B
95% / 5%
59%
2733 1730 686 81
(101)
--
95% / 37%
5996 4377 670 93
(79)
B
93% / 5%
79%
364 5839 294 142
(101)
B
70% / 11%
4547 3880 5847 69
(74)
B
95% / 11%
85%
1425 5232 812 113
(108)
B / C
95% / 42%
172 5546 2046 117
(130)
B
95% / 47%
75%
4241 3324 1678 139
(113)
B
88% / 55%
1732 4216 231 97
(102)
B
93% / 56%
91%
2013 5811 4085 114
(132)
B
95% / 21%
2471 70 148 215
(143)
B / C
95% / 65%
95%
3414 6070 3019 94
(70)
B
67% / 5%
4967 5801 1218 125
(103)
B
91% / 5%
63%
1011 4920 1684 117
(114)
B
89% / 58%
2438 5254 597 118
(105)
B
91% / 5%
95%
346 971 3604 178
(152)
B / C
95% / 75%
4256 6153 2733 90
(93)
B
92% / 31%
62%
670 5805 1796 88
(84)
B
87% / 5%
1425 3260 1323 168
(123)
B / C
95% / 67%
89%
5431 3646 5839 77
(80)
--
30% / 5%
5098 5811 422 76
(94)
B
95% / 36%
78%
1712 4334 4060 128
(123)
B
95% / 66%
3397 364 2471 95
(103)
B
68% / 25%
55%
4085 5910 4241 114
(107)
B / C
95% / 15%
2046 5899 3414 87
(98)
B
95% / 18%
62%
1218 123 3880 76
(105)
B
95% / 33%
771 193 812 88
(92)
B
95% / 25%
71%
4920 4377 4216 110
(106)
B
95% / 25%
4967 1538 5546 142
(138)
B
95% / 70%
92%
3019 5847 4587 112
(101)
B
87% / 28%
1684 1736 70 125
(138)
B / C
95% / 72%
95%
1769 1730 3324 122
(88)
B / C
95% / 5%
294 5254 231 109
(130)
B / C
95% / 89%
89%
5801 5166 869 114
(105)
--
88% / 5%
346 5232 172 90
(119)
B
95% / 24%
89%
2013 148 303 153
(158)
B / C
95% / 91%
686 2990 2405 112
(90)
B
95% / 18%
51%
6070 1732 1011 104
(90)
B / C
84% / 13%
5618 2438 1559 101
(108)
B / C
94% / 23%
67%
5996 1678 4547 142
(95)
B / C
88% / 21%
4334 5546 971 185
(168)
B / C
95% / 87%
95%
3880 193 4085 102
(107)
B / C
95% / 36%
364 123 1730 136
(104)
B
92% / 14%
68%
1712 1323 4256 100
(120)
B
93% / 74%
3019 771 3604 93
(95)
B
88% / 5%
64%
5899 5805 4060 73
(87)
B
95% / 5%
4920 3324 597 110
(98)
B / C
75% / 7%
72%
2013 3414 5431 122
(112)
B / C
95% / 5%
1796 5254 5839 90
(108)
B
47% / 33%
69%
5847 231 172 104
(96)
B
91% / 41%
346 4547 5166 112
(94)
B
95% / 6%
51%
2405 70 5098 116
(94)
B
88% / 5%
3260 1538 1559 134
(118)
B / C
95% / 28%
81%
148 1769 294 172
(149)
B / C
95% / 61%
1011 4967 869 151
(135)
B / C
95% / 74%
95%
4216 5232 670 88
(80)
B
95% / 5%
2733 2046 5996 100
(90)
B
92% / 33%
59%
6070 5910 5801 81
(84)
B
89% / 12%
4377 3397 1736 131
(104)
B / C
94% / 35%
83%
3646 422 5618 95
(73)
B / C
61% / 23%
303 1425 1678 152
(149)
B / C
95% / 94%
92%
5811 1218 1732 89
(105)
B
95% / 20%
1684 6153 2990 113
(110)
B
95% / 68%
57%
812 4241 4587 127
(114)
B
88% / 48%
2471 2013 172 119
(131)
B / C
95% / 42%
90%
686 2438 5166 137
(97)
B / C
95% / 13%
5254 4256 4547 131
(97)
B
95% / 7%
64%
4967 5899 597 81
(108)
B
95% / 11%
971 231 5839 151
(127)
B / C
44% / 74%
77%
2046 771 70 110
(109)
B
95% / 31%
5910 4377 5805 120
(100)
B / C
95% / 32%
93%
1323 148 2405 134
(147)
B / C
89% / 68%
6070 3324 1218 81
(84)
B
84% / 10%
67%
294 670 1712 122
(99)
B / C
95% / 28%
1730 422 3019 110
(97)
B
95% / 32%
77%
5431 4241 346 123
(120)
B
94% / 26%
3397 4920 4060 87
(94)
--
86% / 16%
95%
4587 5546 1425 113
(145)
B / C
95% / 86%
6153 364 4216 139
(101)
B / C
95% / 27%
60%
3604 3414 1559 124
(108)
B / C
95% / 29%
686 5232 5996 105
(91)
B
95% / 7%
62%
1796 193 5098 105
(101)
B
92% / 39%
812 4334 5801 104
(116)
B
91% / 22%
52%
1736 1732 3260 107
(115)
--
92% / 31%
5618 1678 3880 121
(129)
B / C
95% / 77%
54%
1684 2471 1538 112
(132)
B
89% / 52%
869 2733 303 129
(105)
B / C
93% / 43%
63%
123 5847 2990 104
(98)
B / C
95% / 25%
5811 2438 3646 102
(87)
B
58% / 13%
72%
4085 1769 1011 112
(106)
B
95% / 11%
422 5546 148 142
(141)
B / C
95% / 60%
75%
5254 1218 1730 122
(118)
B
95% / 27%
4377 5232 3324 100
(97)
B
95% / 11%
89%
3019 971 4256 126
(141)
B / C
91% / 61%
6070 193 3260 82
(95)
B
93% / 29%
72%
231 6153 4967 92
(115)
B
95% / 64%
5166 1684 1712 136
(105)
B / C
95% / 26%
60%
1323 3397 3604 102
(112)
B
93% / 46%
1736 686 5899 127
(110)
B
95% / 47%
86%
5910 1425 869 134
(138)
B / C
95% / 95%
2990 3880 1796 93
(100)
B
94% / 54%
82%
364 70 5811 85
(127)
B
95% / 56%
1732 2013 771 102
(98)
B
90% / 5%
72%
5098 1769 5847 91
(85)
B
94% / 9%
670 4241 5801 88
(87)
B
84% / 5%
71%
303 3414 4060 113
(97)
B
94% / 27%
1538 4920 4547 115
(107)
B
68% / 15%
60%
3646 2471 2046 96
(99)
B
76% / 27%
1011 346 5839 136
(113)
B / C
81% / 44%
87%
2733 812 5805 98
(81)
B
95% / 9%
4216 294 123 119
(123)
B / C
95% / 76%
82%
4334 1678 2438 200
(153)
B / C
95% / 75%
4085 4587 5431 135
(120)
B
94% / 33%
87%
1559 5996 2405 69
(89)
--
88% / 5%
172 5098 1425 136
(117)
B / C
95% / 64%
66%
597 5618 364 120
(104)
B
94% / 20%
3604 4060 2013 114
(124)
B
95% / 50%
52%
6070 1796 971 118
(122)
B / C
81% / 53%
4967 771 1769 128
(97)
B / C
95% / 10%
55%
303 2471 422 106
(101)
B / C
95% / 51%
148 2046 686 143
(156)
B / C
95% / 78%
95%
3397 5811 670 82
(77)
B
91% / 5%
1011 1712 5546 93
(117)
B
95% / 90%
54%
4256 1538 5839 107
(114)
B
75% / 22%
5166 1218 4241 91
(106)
B
95% / 9%
75%
5805 3260 3880 120
(86)
B
94% / 6%
869 3414 812 95
(114)
--
92% / 20%
65%
3646 4334 5996 113
(103)
B / C
75% / 18%
1730 4587 5801 162
(117)
B / C
91% / 16%
71%
4547 4216 172 89
(102)
B
95% / 21%
2405 294 5847 121
(97)
B
91% / 28%
81%
193 3019 1736 103
(118)
B
95% / 78%
4085 4377 597 88
(110)
B
95% / 5%
75%
2733 70 1678 167
(134)
B / C
95% / 61%
5431 5254 6153 123
(114)
B / C
95% / 56%
70%
123 5618 5232 100
(100)
B / C
95% / 17%
1559 1323 4920 109
(118)
B
88% / 42%
81%
2990 3324 231 128
(97)
B
93% / 47%
5899 1732 5910 117
(88)
B / C
95% / 22%
91%
2438 346 1684 143
(128)
B / C
95% / 41%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 148 1 1 1 1 36.0 36 36
2 1425 2 2 2 2 36.0 36 36
3 1678 3 3 3 3 33.0 33 33
4 971 4 4 4 4 33.0 33 33
5 4334 5 5 5 5 32.0 32 32
6 303 6 6 6 6 31.0 31 31
7 294 7 7 7 7 30.0 30 30
8 1712 8 8 8 8 29.0 29 29
9 346 9 9 9 9 29.0 29 29
10 231 10 10 10 10 29.0 29 29
11 4587 11 11 11 11 29.0 29 29
12 1736 12 12 12 12 28.0 28 28
13 686 13 13 13 13 28.0 28 28
14 4967 14 14 14 14 28.0 28 28
15 5618 15 15 15 15 28.0 28 28
16 5431 16 16 16 16 28.0 28 28
17 2013 17 17 17 17 27.0 27 27
18 123 18 18 18 18 27.0 27 27
19 4085 19 19 19 19 26.0 26 26
20 5546 20 20 20 20 26.0 26 26
21 1538 21 21 21 21 26.0 26 26
22 4256 22 22 22 22 26.0 26 26
23 2046 23 23 23 23 25.0 25 25
24 5996 24 24 24 24 25.0 25 25
25 1323 25 25 25 25 25.0 25 25
26 1796 26 26 26 26 25.0 25 25
27 4060 27 27 27 27 25.0 25 25
28 70 28 28 28 28 24.0 24 24
29 2733 29 29 29 29 24.0 24 24
30 172 30 30 30 30 24.0 24 24
31 5910 31 31 31 31 24.0 24 24
32 4241 32 32 32 32 24.0 24 24
33 6153 33 33 33 33 24.0 24 24
34 3880 34 34 34 34 24.0 24 24
35 2990 35 35 35 35 23.0 23 23
36 1684 36 36 36 36 23.0 23 23
37 5098 37 37 37 37 23.0 23 23
38 4377 38 38 38 38 23.0 23 23
39 5166 39 39 39 39 23.0 23 23
40 869 40 40 40 40 23.0 23 23
41 4216 41 41 41 41 22.0 22 22
42 364 42 42 42 42 22.0 22 22
43 1011 43 43 43 43 22.0 22 22
44 2471 44 44 44 44 21.0 21 21
45 193 45 45 45 45 21.0 21 21
46 5254 46 46 46 46 21.0 21 21
47 1559 47 47 47 47 21.0 21 21
48 5811 48 48 48 48 20.0 20 20
49 771 49 49 49 49 20.0 20 20
50 2438 50 50 50 50 19.0 19 19
51 1730 51 51 51 51 19.0 19 19
52 4920 52 52 52 52 19.0 19 19
53 3604 53 53 53 53 19.0 19 19
54 5805 54 54 54 54 19.0 19 19
55 1769 55 55 55 55 18.0 18 18
56 5232 56 56 56 56 18.0 18 18
57 5801 57 57 57 57 18.0 18 18
58 5839 58 58 58 58 18.0 18 18
59 1732 59 59 59 59 18.0 18 18
60 422 60 60 60 60 18.0 18 18
61 3414 61 61 61 61 18.0 18 18
62 1218 62 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 2405 63 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 6070 64 64 64 64 17.0 17 17
65 3260 65 65 65 65 17.0 17 17
66 3019 66 66 66 66 17.0 17 17
67 597 67 67 67 67 16.0 16 16
68 4547 68 68 68 68 16.0 16 16
69 812 69 69 69 69 15.0 15 15
70 670 70 70 70 70 15.0 15 15
71 3324 71 71 71 71 14.0 14 14
72 3646 72 72 72 72 14.0 14 14
73 5899 73 73 73 73 13.0 13 13
74 5847 74 74 74 74 13.0 13 13
75 3397 75 75 75 75 10.0 10 10

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 86%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 100%

Match score prediction average error: 22.2

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
364 148 1678 187
(218)
B / C
93% / 83%
92%
70 3604 231 126
(157)
B
95% / 65%
364 148 1678 270
(211)
B / C
94% / 81%
94%
70 4920 231 130
(142)
B
86% / 44%
4334 294 2013 187
(200)
B / C
95% / 85%
88%
303 4085 4587 162
(157)
B / C
95% / 56%
4334 294 2013 210
(197)
B / C
95% / 88%
87%
303 1796 4587 204
(157)
B / C
95% / 74%
1425 1538 2046 140
(180)
B
95% / 88%
56%
4967 346 1011 153
(176)
B
95% / 73%
1425 1538 2046 171
(176)
B / C
95% / 87%
52%
4967 346 1011 180
(175)
B / C
95% / 72%
5254 971 1323 192
(205)
B / C
95% / 95%
90%
1730 1712 869 181
(162)
B / C
95% / 54%
193 971 1323 192
(194)
B
95% / 94%
83%
1730 1712 869 124
(164)
B
95% / 57%
Semifinals
364 148 1678 250
(221)
B / C
95% / 84%
79%
4334 294 1732 180
(183)
B
95% / 81%
364 148 1678 260
(225)
B / C
95% / 87%
71%
4334 294 2013 220
(201)
B / C
95% / 93%
4967 346 1011 141
(175)
B
95% / 73%
78%
1323 971 193 193
(197)
B / C
95% / 93%
4967 346 1011 138
(171)
B
95% / 69%
79%
1323 971 193 230
(195)
B / C
95% / 89%
Finals
364 148 1678 215
(229)
B / C
95% / 90%
76%
1323 971 193 180
(200)
B
95% / 90%
364 148 1678 237
(227)
B / C
95% / 88%
74%
1323 971 193 190
(200)
B
95% / 89%