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Curie Division 2016

Advanced Insights

Qualification Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 77%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 83%

Match score prediction average error: 13.1

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Qualifications
2220 6016 4087 66
(64)
B
61% / 5%
94%
2980 321 858 124
(108)
B / C
95% / 45%
379 2974 5199 112
(116)
B
95% / 19%
54%
339 5406 3641 155
(119)
B
95% / 78%
1073 5940 3656 65
(87)
B
95% / 8%
82%
2557 3230 4329 96
(114)
B
93% / 31%
5834 3005 2883 124
(105)
B / C
95% / 45%
64%
4646 836 1991 83
(95)
B
95% / 25%
2080 3770 3339 94
(96)
B
95% / 5%
81%
3506 287 1511 116
(114)
B
95% / 58%
3618 5803 1983 94
(121)
B
91% / 45%
89%
1868 3925 3965 70
(80)
B
93% / 5%
5679 2175 876 120
(103)
B
95% / 9%
56%
166 1885 4180 178
(99)
B / C
93% / 7%
3147 2168 8 76
(107)
B
95% / 7%
65%
3930 1089 3546 134
(116)
B / C
95% / 65%
4335 955 191 89
(87)
B
85% / 5%
50%
694 2848 1662 94
(87)
B
95% / 5%
4469 4910 5837 111
(100)
B
95% / 12%
88%
1123 6034 3234 81
(72)
B
72% / 5%
5892 4061 4455 54
(70)
--
90% / 5%
95%
5976 25 1389 102
(110)
B / C
95% / 43%
639 3310 5933 106
(117)
B
91% / 60%
79%
1261 3374 4010 115
(96)
B
95% / 5%
4188 5406 5834 104
(111)
B
95% / 73%
59%
3990 5279 5679 107
(117)
B / C
95% / 43%
3506 2980 5199 94
(106)
B
95% / 8%
71%
5803 379 2175 104
(120)
B
95% / 47%
3641 3965 3230 96
(124)
B
95% / 55%
89%
3147 3930 1662 86
(95)
B
95% / 10%
876 1089 1123 125
(109)
B
94% / 12%
76%
2974 2220 1868 86
(90)
B
95% / 5%
1885 1511 3005 115
(126)
B / C
95% / 65%
93%
3925 4469 191 100
(94)
B
87% / 15%
3656 694 287 117
(96)
B
86% / 9%
81%
1261 4087 6034 97
(76)
B
82% / 5%
3990 2557 4646 129
(121)
B
95% / 45%
95%
955 5933 5976 88
(87)
B
95% / 5%
4180 2080 5940 67
(83)
B
88% / 7%
76%
6016 339 2168 100
(102)
B
95% / 39%
5837 4010 4188 92
(97)
B
95% / 11%
56%
4335 4061 2883 102
(101)
B
95% / 23%
858 1073 4455 84
(82)
--
95% / 5%
73%
2848 3770 1991 99
(100)
B / C
95% / 5%
639 8 25 114
(110)
B
95% / 43%
61%
4910 3618 3310 97
(119)
B
94% / 42%
4329 1389 166 120
(107)
B / C
88% / 32%
68%
3546 836 5279 129
(119)
B / C
95% / 95%
321 3374 3339 121
(106)
B
95% / 13%
72%
3234 1983 5892 105
(90)
B
84% / 5%
694 5933 4469 142
(98)
B / C
74% / 21%
73%
5976 2974 6016 85
(88)
B
95% / 6%
1511 1261 4061 128
(118)
B / C
95% / 56%
69%
1885 955 2980 103
(108)
B
95% / 13%
3147 3656 191 139
(96)
B
95% / 5%
95%
2080 1123 4455 54
(59)
--
81% / 5%
5406 4646 2883 127
(120)
B
95% / 58%
90%
3230 4910 1868 109
(92)
B
95% / 14%
3005 3930 339 81
(113)
B
95% / 66%
51%
3618 5279 876 138
(113)
B / C
95% / 47%
3310 379 3925 146
(110)
B / C
90% / 14%
61%
4188 321 3965 82
(103)
B
95% / 46%
2168 4087 2848 79
(92)
B
95% / 7%
54%
5834 639 2175 128
(93)
B / C
84% / 25%
4180 1983 3641 159
(134)
B / C
95% / 50%
95%
8 2220 1389 79
(72)
B
74% / 5%
25 3374 836 124
(123)
B / C
95% / 81%
95%
5679 6034 3770 72
(82)
B
83% / 5%
3234 5199 1073 109
(87)
B
83% / 5%
95%
3990 858 166 170
(153)
B / C
95% / 65%
1991 3546 5803 133
(103)
B / C
95% / 70%
53%
3339 4335 2557 105
(105)
--
91% / 22%
287 1662 5892 87
(76)
B
91% / 5%
70%
1089 5940 4010 116
(91)
B / C
95% / 15%
3506 2974 191 131
(108)
B / C
95% / 14%
77%
5837 4329 321 87
(90)
B
84% / 44%
4188 1511 694 104
(107)
B / C
91% / 62%
67%
3618 8 2175 107
(92)
B
94% / 31%
3374 2848 3230 74
(104)
B
95% / 15%
65%
5279 3641 2080 110
(115)
B / C
95% / 68%
6034 5933 2168 96
(86)
B
86% / 13%
78%
3770 2883 1073 122
(103)
B
94% / 9%
3339 1983 3990 95
(139)
B
95% / 56%
83%
3656 3005 4061 115
(111)
B / C
95% / 45%
4469 876 836 123
(130)
B
95% / 74%
72%
2557 2980 287 112
(115)
B
95% / 36%
5679 339 955 66
(89)
B
95% / 8%
53%
5803 4010 1123 110
(87)
B / C
93% / 5%
1089 1991 1389 89
(102)
B
94% / 67%
59%
1885 4087 3310 137
(109)
B / C
95% / 27%
4455 1868 1662 83
(75)
B
95% / 5%
85%
5834 6016 3506 78
(96)
B
93% / 18%
1261 5892 5199 106
(96)
B
88% / 5%
53%
4910 4335 4180 78
(94)
B
87% / 5%
3234 3930 4329 96
(96)
B / C
95% / 19%
89%
25 2220 379 121
(124)
B
95% / 74%
858 5976 3925 106
(98)
B
81% / 5%
71%
3147 639 5406 132
(114)
B / C
95% / 29%
5837 166 3546 125
(141)
B / C
95% / 54%
95%
5940 4646 3965 73
(75)
B
90% / 5%
2175 4469 1089 140
(135)
B / C
95% / 68%
89%
3990 3230 2080 110
(94)
B
95% / 7%
4087 2974 5679 102
(79)
B
95% / 5%
74%
3339 3618 1662 127
(96)
B
95% / 13%
3641 6016 1123 111
(106)
B
95% / 27%
94%
876 1261 2883 137
(147)
B / C
95% / 67%
1511 5892 5279 90
(93)
B
90% / 32%
87%
3656 379 2168 117
(122)
B
95% / 28%
2980 3770 1868 85
(100)
B
95% / 8%
95%
2557 3234 639 150
(124)
B / C
95% / 60%
3005 287 1389 114
(104)
B / C
95% / 54%
61%
5837 3147 5933 83
(96)
B
95% / 17%
3310 166 4335 116
(132)
B
95% / 47%
81%
5406 1983 4455 99
(102)
B
94% / 17%
836 694 3965 112
(86)
B / C
92% / 32%
81%
1885 339 321 105
(114)
B
95% / 56%
3930 1991 25 105
(107)
B / C
95% / 74%
76%
5199 4188 5940 114
(92)
B / C
94% / 53%
955 4180 5834 101
(95)
B
88% / 9%
84%
3546 3506 3374 86
(119)
B
95% / 39%
4910 2220 5803 92
(93)
B
95% / 41%
71%
1073 4010 5976 80
(79)
B
92% / 5%
6034 3925 2848 52
(71)
--
81% / 5%
71%
8 4061 4329 98
(83)
B / C
86% / 22%
4646 858 1261 134
(131)
B / C
95% / 55%
89%
191 1389 2168 99
(106)
B
95% / 30%
3641 5933 3234 135
(136)
B / C
95% / 83%
95%
4087 5892 836 76
(74)
B
88% / 15%
1868 287 4335 57
(86)
--
94% / 5%
95%
25 166 1511 152
(148)
B / C
95% / 93%
1991 1662 1983 129
(98)
B
95% / 11%
53%
2175 339 5837 91
(96)
B
95% / 10%
1073 5279 2980 92
(91)
B
95% / 5%
78%
1123 694 3310 102
(113)
B
92% / 41%
2220 3374 3990 102
(96)
B
93% / 14%
70%
1885 3618 3147 138
(114)
B
95% / 15%
876 8 5406 135
(115)
B
95% / 42%
81%
3770 955 5940 102
(95)
B
95% / 21%
5199 321 4469 94
(120)
--
95% / 63%
84%
4646 3656 2848 112
(95)
B
95% / 5%
2557 6016 3930 117
(97)
B / C
95% / 31%
81%
3925 5679 4910 99
(81)
B
93% / 6%
6034 5976 3506 82
(73)
B
85% / 5%
95%
1089 3005 4188 100
(125)
B / C
95% / 82%
4180 2883 4455 99
(102)
B
94% / 8%
73%
3339 4329 858 135
(117)
B / C
93% / 59%
4061 2080 2974 101
(94)
B
95% / 14%
61%
5803 3965 5834 76
(87)
B
94% / 21%
4010 3546 639 128
(122)
B / C
95% / 54%
55%
379 3230 191 94
(117)
B
95% / 32%
694 3618 3770 155
(110)
B
88% / 48%
80%
5837 1389 5199 90
(85)
B
80% / 12%
4469 1261 5679 134
(118)
B / C
95% / 49%
72%
1983 1073 3147 91
(98)
B
92% / 5%
6016 1868 5406 110
(98)
B / C
95% / 21%
51%
3656 1991 3374 81
(97)
B
95% / 11%
1089 1511 5933 117
(113)
B / C
95% / 46%
74%
4329 339 4180 78
(95)
B
95% / 20%
2557 1885 6034 115
(111)
B
93% / 16%
95%
5834 5892 3930 77
(69)
B
71% / 14%
191 2883 5803 122
(120)
B
95% / 60%
50%
3310 3234 5940 101
(120)
B
95% / 75%
379 2080 955 91
(90)
B
95% / 5%
84%
4087 3005 166 140
(118)
B / C
95% / 51%
2974 2848 3546 131
(116)
B / C
95% / 52%
53%
3925 287 25 112
(118)
B
87% / 53%
1662 4646 639 82
(108)
B
95% / 14%
67%
2220 4061 5279 93
(100)
B
92% / 68%
3230 836 1123 87
(95)
B
95% / 33%
78%
3506 858 8 114
(115)
B
94% / 54%
2168 4335 4455 97
(68)
B
63% / 5%
95%
321 3641 3990 171
(140)
B / C
95% / 81%
5976 2175 3339 127
(107)
B
95% / 29%
54%
3965 876 4010 122
(104)
B
95% / 9%
4910 2980 1389 89
(90)
B
95% / 15%
52%
4188 2080 3656 89
(91)
--
95% / 5%
6016 3618 1261 107
(118)
B
95% / 35%
89%
2557 1089 166 147
(153)
B
95% / 67%
1991 287 4061 93
(100)
B
89% / 40%
53%
3234 2220 4180 108
(101)
B
95% / 14%
3506 1983 1123 119
(99)
B
95% / 11%
72%
1885 2848 639 119
(115)
B
95% / 47%
25 5406 3230 147
(134)
B / C
95% / 94%
68%
694 2168 3005 138
(119)
B / C
95% / 70%
3925 2175 4087 97
(95)
B
84% / 17%
68%
4455 5279 5940 86
(82)
B
85% / 35%
5933 5803 321 106
(105)
B
95% / 70%
65%
1662 4188 876 93
(115)
--
95% / 6%
4010 1511 1868 91
(99)
B
95% / 25%
53%
5199 3546 6034 115
(98)
B
87% / 13%
5834 339 8 79
(76)
B
92% / 5%
83%
191 2980 3339 108
(105)
B
95% / 24%
858 3965 2883 101
(122)
B
95% / 41%
92%
955 5892 4469 85
(91)
--
91% / 21%
3641 5837 5976 111
(112)
B / C
95% / 38%
65%
5679 4329 3310 93
(101)
B
95% / 33%
4335 1073 3374 59
(61)
B
79% / 5%
95%
4646 2974 3930 106
(102)
B
95% / 30%
3147 3990 4910 115
(120)
B
95% / 13%
52%
836 3770 379 119
(121)
B / C
95% / 65%
639 876 321 137
(124)
B / C
95% / 72%
95%
2080 1991 6034 39
(59)
--
78% / 5%
1983 2980 3656 95
(110)
B
95% / 17%
65%
3618 3546 5933 118
(123)
B / C
92% / 70%
3339 4188 2168 117
(116)
B
95% / 62%
65%
166 2220 4469 105
(126)
B
92% / 54%
858 5679 5940 81
(101)
B
90% / 49%
53%
1868 694 4061 110
(103)
B
89% / 51%
3930 5803 5406 108
(117)
B / C
95% / 80%
75%
1261 5837 2848 104
(104)
B
95% / 7%
5976 5834 3770 87
(98)
B
95% / 5%
76%
4335 3230 3925 87
(77)
B
67% / 5%
3374 5279 4910 91
(98)
B
95% / 21%
56%
3965 191 1089 90
(101)
B
95% / 8%
2974 3310 836 92
(127)
B
95% / 77%
83%
6016 2175 1511 89
(105)
B
95% / 34%
3506 339 1389 113
(91)
B
95% / 25%
95%
2883 3234 3990 86
(139)
B
95% / 57%
1885 379 8 128
(114)
B / C
95% / 24%
94%
4455 287 4646 111
(86)
B / C
83% / 5%
4010 4180 3147 103
(109)
B
95% / 9%
81%
25 2557 4087 112
(130)
B / C
95% / 74%
5892 3005 4329 87
(84)
B
94% / 29%
62%
1662 1123 5199 87
(91)
--
95% / 5%
955 1089 3925 116
(103)
B / C
92% / 10%
81%
3641 1073 3339 99
(126)
B
94% / 51%
2848 3310 2220 88
(94)
B
93% / 13%
55%
5933 836 1868 89
(92)
B
95% / 43%
876 5837 858 117
(122)
B
88% / 41%
90%
4910 5834 1511 64
(94)
B
95% / 25%
4188 3230 4455 100
(89)
B
90% / 17%
86%
2974 1261 339 130
(119)
B
95% / 43%
4010 5279 166 113
(135)
B
95% / 67%
82%
1991 4469 3506 131
(109)
B / C
87% / 45%
1885 25 2080 107
(118)
B
95% / 49%
85%
1662 2883 5976 95
(96)
B
95% / 5%
6034 4329 3147 91
(76)
B
78% / 5%
83%
2980 5803 4646 113
(97)
B / C
95% / 18%
321 2175 3005 98
(123)
B / C
95% / 91%
85%
3546 3770 3641 115
(154)
B
95% / 95%
5892 4180 3990 108
(99)
B
90% / 5%
69%
639 3930 694 124
(115)
B / C
95% / 72%
4087 3618 191 116
(99)
B / C
89% / 21%
57%
4061 1073 5406 127
(104)
B / C
95% / 32%
6016 955 287 100
(93)
B
95% / 11%
85%
2168 1983 5199 138
(117)
B / C
95% / 30%
3234 4335 3965 92
(78)
B
87% / 5%
63%
3656 8 5679 92
(87)
B
93% / 5%
2557 1123 5940 93
(95)
B
90% / 21%
51%
1389 379 3374 115
(96)
B
95% / 16%

Ranking Predictions (?)

Remember, ranking predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Predictions will update throughout the event.

Predicted rankings as of qualification match #125

Predicted Rank Team Average Rank Highest Rank Median Rank Lowest Rank Average RP Highest RP Lowest RP
1 3546 1 1 1 1 35.0 35 35
2 1089 2 2 2 2 32.0 32 32
3 25 3 3 3 3 32.0 32 32
4 5803 4 4 4 4 32.0 32 32
5 5406 5 5 5 5 31.0 31 31
6 639 6 6 6 6 31.0 31 31
7 3005 7 7 7 7 31.0 31 31
8 694 8 8 8 8 31.0 31 31
9 3641 9 9 9 9 31.0 31 31
10 166 10 10 10 10 30.0 30 30
11 1885 11 11 11 11 29.0 29 29
12 4061 12 12 12 12 29.0 29 29
13 1261 13 13 13 13 28.0 28 28
14 836 14 14 14 14 28.0 28 28
15 3618 15 15 15 15 27.0 27 27
16 379 16 16 16 16 27.0 27 27
17 858 17 17 17 17 27.0 27 27
18 2883 18 18 18 18 26.0 26 26
19 5279 19 19 19 19 26.0 26 26
20 5933 20 20 20 20 26.0 26 26
21 876 21 21 21 21 26.0 26 26
22 2557 22 22 22 22 26.0 26 26
23 3930 23 23 23 23 26.0 26 26
24 2175 24 24 24 24 25.0 25 25
25 1511 25 25 25 25 25.0 25 25
26 4646 26 26 26 26 25.0 25 25
27 8 27 27 27 27 25.0 25 25
28 4469 28 28 28 28 24.0 24 24
29 2974 29 29 29 29 24.0 24 24
30 321 30 30 30 30 23.0 23 23
31 3506 31 31 31 31 23.0 23 23
32 3770 32 32 32 32 23.0 23 23
33 3339 33 33 33 33 22.0 22 22
34 3310 34 34 34 34 22.0 22 22
35 1389 35 35 35 35 22.0 22 22
36 4087 36 36 36 36 22.0 22 22
37 3656 37 37 37 37 22.0 22 22
38 3990 38 38 38 38 21.0 21 21
39 4329 39 39 39 39 21.0 21 21
40 1983 40 40 40 40 21.0 21 21
41 4010 41 41 41 41 21.0 21 21
42 1991 42 42 42 42 21.0 21 21
43 3374 43 43 43 43 21.0 21 21
44 2168 44 44 44 44 20.0 20 20
45 191 45 45 45 45 20.0 20 20
46 5837 46 46 46 46 20.0 20 20
47 4180 47 47 47 47 20.0 20 20
48 3234 48 48 48 48 20.0 20 20
49 2848 49 49 49 49 20.0 20 20
50 5199 50 50 50 50 19.0 19 19
51 2980 51 51 51 51 19.0 19 19
52 5834 52 52 52 52 19.0 19 19
53 5976 53 53 53 53 19.0 19 19
54 1868 54 54 54 54 18.0 18 18
55 3925 55 55 55 55 18.0 18 18
56 3230 56 56 56 56 18.0 18 18
57 6016 57 57 57 57 18.0 18 18
58 339 58 58 58 58 18.0 18 18
59 4188 59 59 59 59 18.0 18 18
60 2220 60 60 60 60 18.0 18 18
61 3965 61 61 61 61 18.0 18 18
62 1123 62 62 62 62 17.0 17 17
63 1662 63 63 63 63 17.0 17 17
64 287 64 64 64 64 17.0 17 17
65 3147 65 65 65 65 17.0 17 17
66 4910 66 66 66 66 17.0 17 17
67 5679 67 67 67 67 17.0 17 17
68 5940 68 68 68 68 16.0 16 16
69 2080 69 69 69 69 15.0 15 15
70 4335 70 70 70 70 14.0 14 14
71 1073 71 71 71 71 14.0 14 14
72 955 72 72 72 72 14.0 14 14
73 6034 73 73 73 73 12.0 12 12
74 5892 74 74 74 74 11.0 11 11
75 4455 75 75 75 75 10.0 10 10

Playoff Match Predictions (?)

Remember, match predictions are JUST FOR FUN! Please do not be discouraged by our predictions -- they are almost certainly wrong.

Win/Loss prediction accuracy: 53%

Win/Loss prediction accuracy (>75% confidence): 80%

Match score prediction average error: 13.7

Match Red Alliance Scores:
Actual
(Predicted)
Breach / Capture:
Actual
(Predicted Probability)
Actual Score vs. Predicted Distribution Win/Loss
Prediction
Probability
Win/Loss
Prediction
Correct
Quarterfinals
166 3618 3546 216
(187)
B / C
95% / 88%
74%
3339 379 694 190
(162)
B
89% / 58%
166 3618 3546 168
(193)
B / C
95% / 90%
68%
3339 379 694 202
(173)
B / C
90% / 67%
166 3618 3546 201
(188)
B / C
95% / 90%
60%
3339 379 694 234
(177)
B / C
92% / 71%
2168 3310 5803 169
(155)
B / C
95% / 54%
93%
3641 5406 1261 195
(203)
B / C
95% / 95%
2168 5803 3310 152
(156)
B
95% / 58%
93%
3641 5406 1261 208
(201)
B / C
95% / 95%
1983 1089 4469 179
(166)
B / C
95% / 63%
61%
876 3005 2557 201
(176)
B / C
95% / 82%
1983 1089 836 168
(157)
B / C
95% / 72%
76%
876 3005 2557 201
(179)
B / C
95% / 79%
2848 25 4329 191
(147)
B / C
95% / 76%
65%
287 3990 639 178
(159)
B / C
95% / 52%
2848 25 4329 133
(155)
B
95% / 77%
71%
287 3990 1662 166
(137)
B / C
95% / 19%
2848 25 4329 139
(153)
B
95% / 72%
56%
639 3990 1662 170
(148)
B / C
95% / 42%
Semifinals
3339 379 694 194
(185)
B / C
92% / 76%
66%
3641 5406 1261 188
(202)
B / C
95% / 95%
3339 379 694 185
(186)
B / C
93% / 76%
64%
3641 5406 1261 172
(200)
B / C
95% / 95%
876 3005 2557 144
(182)
B
95% / 78%
84%
639 3990 1662 160
(150)
B
95% / 45%
876 3005 2557 177
(176)
B / C
95% / 66%
74%
639 3990 1662 169
(155)
B / C
95% / 51%
876 3005 2557 189
(176)
B / C
95% / 72%
75%
639 3990 1662 130
(155)
B
95% / 52%
Finals
3339 379 694 190
(185)
B / C
93% / 76%
57%
876 3005 2557 189
(178)
B / C
95% / 76%
3339 379 694 187
(185)
B / C
93% / 76%
66%
876 4061 2557 185
(171)
B / C
95% / 59%